Was wir aus der Landwirtschaft lernen können

Dear Ladies and Gentlemen

Many thanks for your feedback to my last weekly mail. Some of my readers came up with great thoughts and I will most probably use one or the other in future weeklies. I would like to thank especially Madeleine, Thomas, Robert, Scott and Anton for their inspiring reflections. Many thanks!

As some of you know, I live on a small hill in the country side of Zürich and when I look out of the window, I see cows and horses and only a few houses. Seeing farmers at work is part of every day life up here and talking to them from time to time made me think about investment processes.

Nowadays, most of us living in developed countries are used to instant gratification. People are posting pictures of their food and hope to receive likes, they are posting pictures of their cars and hope to receive likes, they are posting comments on Twitter and hope to receive likes. Instant gratification. You want a coffee, you get it immediately, you want something to eat, you get it right away, a new I-phone you get it, whatever we want we can get most of it at any moment. Instant gratification.

However, when it comes to investing, instant gratification is not all that easy to achieve.

Investing needs a strategy and it needs time, patience.

I think investing is actually a lot like farming. Before investing my clients’ money, I have to prepare the grounds. Ground preparing in my business is for example research and research is very time consuming and at times even boring and it is ongoing, it never stops but it needs to be done.

After preparing the grounds I sow the seeds, which means I make some first investments.  Afterwards I nourish and cater for the investments, I add positions or let go of some. When I think the time is right, I harvest, I take profits, rake in dividends or write calls (covered only) on long positions to increase to cashflow on the portfolio.

I am fully aware that a storm can take away a part of my clients‘ harvest, this is why I am only on very, very rare occasions fully invested. Like this I always have some cash at hand to increase positions when markets are down.

That is what I am doing, not more and not less, and I keep on doing this over and over and over and over again.

And you know, Ladies and Gentlemen, I don’t think much of preparing and building up protection for this one and only very bad mega storm, almost hoping for it to arrive so that my protection works and (not to forget) my ego gets pampered. I think the opportunity cost of such a (rather risky) strategy is very high. Partial protection on the other side makes a lot of sense to me and I would highly recommend that in any sort of balanced portfolio.

Please do not hesitate to share your thoughts with me on whatever seems interesting  to you or on whatever is bothering you. Please feel encouraged to do so but please don’t forget (instead of hitting the reply button) to send your messages to:

smk@incrementum.li

Many thanks, indeed!

And now, Ladies and Gentlemen I wish you a great day and weekend.
Kind regards.

Yours truly,

 

Stefan M. Kremeth
Wealth Management
Incrementum AG

Moralisierender und polarisierender Nachrichtenfluss

Dear Ladies and Gentlemen

This is a slightly more intense weekly than usual and I recommend you only read it if you really are up for it and can spare a moment to think about it.

You know, Ladies and Gentlemen, I ask myself if I am the only one or if there are others out there, who like me seem to have detected an unhealthy development of black or white thinking and/or black or white reporting on just about any important and even unimportant topic in politics and/or financial markets and many other things.

I do get the impression we are constantly being pulled or pushed into one or the other camp, black or white, by influencers of any sort moralizing and polarizing with at times very week arguments.

I really can’t think much of this and it bothers me big time. I don’t think moralizing and polarizing; black or white thinking is helping the knowledge building process of voters and financial investors in any positive way. Why can’t we accept different shades of grey or even colours and have a debate on viewpoints without having to fiercely defend the moralizing and polarizing viewpoints of pseudo gurus?

Is it really impossible to see something (anything really) good in a political candidate, who’s face, style, political program you dislike? Is it really impossible to see something (anything really) good in an asset class you generally dislike? Isn’t it the mix that proposes the best results?

Look, Ladies and Gentlemen, in a very simplified illustration what would you think if a cook was only offering dishes with one ingredient? Don’t you think this would be slightly boring over time and that he would maybe soon be out of business? While and thanks to a mix of ingredients he may were to achieve balanced and interesting menus?

Same is obviously true for politics. I personally think President Donald Trump is not a very elegant person, however I cannot imagine that everything he does is bad. The new Italian government does not want to stick to agreements signed with the EU by their predecessors long time ago, true and yet, there are arguments I understand even if I don’t like them.

Now, when it comes to financial markets, the sometimes-fierce fight between defenders of one or the other asset class is truly surprising as it leads to more restrictions instead of more freedom and flexibility. Why would someone be happy to give up freedom or flexibility?

You know, Ladies and Gentlemen, this phenomenon you can also find in religion and while we finally seem to understand that religion was man made, we almost seem to seek restrictions outside religion. Again, this is very surprising to me as it makes our thinking and acting more rigid and thus fragile instead of flexible and antifragile.

What is your opinion, Ladies and Gentlemen?

Please do not hesitate to share your thoughts with me on whatever seems interesting or bothering to you. Please feel encouraged to do so but please don’t forget (instead of hitting the reply button) to send your messages to:

smk@incrementum.li

Many thanks, indeed!

And now, Ladies and Gentlemen I wish you a great day and weekend.

Kind regards.

Yours truly,

Stefan M. Kremeth
Wealth Management
Incrementum AG

Europäische Datenschutz-Grundverordnung (DSDPR)

Dear Ladies and Gentlemen

 

Wow!

 

Many thanks for the positive feedback to my last weekly mail!

I have rarely received more feedback than last week. Thank you very much indeed! Robert even offered me a bottle of wine (alternative currency as we have learned).

Now, today I must inform you once more about the new European General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR). This regulation offers an increased level of privacy protection and became effective on May 25, 2018. In Liechtenstein data regulation was always rather strict, especially in the financial industry. Still, to comply with the new GDPR standard, we’ve updated our privacy policy. The extensive information can be found on our webpage.

In addition we will have to delete all the email addresses of our readers for all products, if we cannot prove that the reader really wants to receiver our messages. Therefore, I ask you to please register yourself under:

https://www.incrementum.li/en/incrementum-newsletter/

if you haven’t done so since May 2018 and if you want to receive my weekly mails or any other publication by Incrementum also in the future.

Please accept my apologies for this inconvenience.

Many thanks for your understanding and please do not hesitate to share your thoughts with me on whatever seems interesting to you or is bothering you. Please feel encouraged to do so but please don’t forget (instead of hitting the reply button) to send your messages to:

smk@incrementum.li

Many thanks, indeed!

And now, Ladies and Gentlemen I wish you a great day and weekend.

Kind regards.

Yours truly,

Stefan M. Kremeth
Wealth Management
Incrementum AG

Ronald-Peter Stoeferle mit Responsa Liberta TV über Gold, Zinsen und Waehrungsdilemma

Die Zukunft der Internationalen Beziehungen im Rahmen einer Zuspitzung von Handels- und Währungskriegen, Quantitative Easing und Quantitative Tightening. Ronald-Peter Stöferle im Rahmen der Internationalen Edelmetall- und Rohstoffmesse in München im November 2018 gibt darin seine Einschätzung zu den Zinserhöhungen seitens der FED, dem angekündigten Ende der lockeren Geldpolitik im Euroraum und der Rolle des Goldes im Zuge der o.g. Entwicklungen wieder.

Der Edelmetall-Analyst Ronald Peter Stöferle im Gespräch mit pro aurum TV

Die Internationale Edelmetall & Rohstoffmesse ist jedes Jahr das zentrale Ereignis für erfahrene Edelmetall-Anleger sowie solche, die es werden wollen. In diesem Jahr fand die Leitmesse der Branche vom 9. bis 10. November 2018 im MVG Museum München statt – mit dabei war auch „pro aurum TV“. Vor der Kamera standen zahlreiche Experten, darunter „Mister DAX“ Dirk Müller, Ronald Peter Stöferle (Co-Autor des „In Gold We Trust“-Reports) sowie Robert Hartmann und Mirko Schmidt (Gründer von pro aurum) Rede und Antwort. Im Gespräch mit pro aurum TV zeigte sich der Edelmetall-Analyst Ronald Peter Stöferle äußerst zuversichtlich für die weitere Entwicklung von Gold